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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)67% (159–80, n=239)68% (43–20, n=63)
Consensus PnL$114K$5.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #953was PM monthly #24
Sides with the consensus88% (14 of 16 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topicCrypto ±0 pts, n=223NBA −6 pts, n=92
Settled positions, side won71% of 223 at avg 71¢, ROI 0%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 16% of 25)3% (won 17% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢13% (won 50% of 30)29% (won 56% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢14% (won 53% of 32)54% (won 51% of 115)
Entries 70¢ and up61% (won 90% of 136)14% (won 86% of 29)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.