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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xd37d84a14d70ac7300defe9997074b3b3fd7c7000gringo00RN1primm
Record (consensus markets)76% (111–36, n=147)75% (6–2, n=8)47% (13849–15328, n=29177)50% (1028–1027, n=2055)
Consensus PnL$31K$3.5M$13.4M$3.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #952was PM monthly #19PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #181
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position67% (2 of 3 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +11 pts n=11, ROI −10%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won62% of 90 at avg 59¢, ROI +3%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%99% of 919 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢23% (won 10% of 21)0%10% (won 57% of 2537)5% (won 94% of 49)
Entries 30–50¢12% (won 0% of 11)0%22% (won 94% of 5518)42% (won 99% of 382)
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 87% of 15)100% (won 86% of 7)36% (won 99% of 8928)49% (won 99% of 446)
Entries 70¢ and up48% (won 95% of 43)0%32% (won 100% of 7821)5% (won 100% of 42)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.