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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)no settled marketno settled marketno settled market0% (0–1, n=1)
Consensus PnL———-$16K
Tracked asPM monthly #944PM monthly #7PM monthly #159PM monthly #215
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus positionno open consensus position67% (2 of 3 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
  • MLB +5 pts n=17, ROI +44%
Weakest topic——NFL −8 pts, n=71—
Settled positions, side won—62% of 13 at avg 59¢, ROI +33%54% of 496 at avg 57¢, ROI +1%59% of 495 at avg 53¢, ROI +8%
Entries under 30¢—8% (won 0% of 1)19% (won 10% of 96)6% (won 17% of 29)
Entries 30–50¢—8% (won 0% of 1)21% (won 35% of 105)35% (won 46% of 171)
Entries 50–70¢—69% (won 67% of 9)27% (won 54% of 132)47% (won 66% of 233)
Entries 70¢ and up—15% (won 100% of 2)33% (won 91% of 163)13% (won 89% of 62)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.