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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)100% (1–0, n=1)no settled market100% (2–0, n=2)no settled market
Consensus PnL$599$0$245K—
Tracked asPM monthly #519PM monthly #152PM monthly #72PM monthly #158
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
  • MLB +5 pts n=17, ROI +44%
Weakest topic—Politics −2 pts, n=16—NFL −8 pts, n=71
Settled positions, side won—64% of 245 at avg 59¢, ROI +7%100% of 2 at avg 51¢, ROI +50%54% of 496 at avg 57¢, ROI +1%
Entries under 30¢—26% (won 6% of 63)0%19% (won 10% of 96)
Entries 30–50¢—12% (won 57% of 30)50% (won 100% of 1)21% (won 35% of 105)
Entries 50–70¢—13% (won 66% of 32)50% (won 100% of 1)27% (won 54% of 132)
Entries 70¢ and up—49% (won 96% of 120)0%33% (won 91% of 163)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.