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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
1lovejump00gringo00beachboy4
Record (consensus markets)65% (62–34, n=96)75% (6–2, n=8)68% (43–20, n=63)
Consensus PnL-$96K$3.5M$5.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #982was PM monthly #19was PM monthly #24
Sides with the consensus50% (1 of 2 open)no open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +18 pts n=352, ROI −1%
none with 10+ settled
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topicSoccer −1 pts, n=57—NBA −6 pts, n=92
Settled positions, side won96% of 418 at avg 80¢, ROI −1%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 20% of 5)0%3% (won 17% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢5% (won 80% of 20)0%29% (won 56% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 96% of 67)100% (won 86% of 7)54% (won 51% of 115)
Entries 70¢ and up78% (won 98% of 326)0%14% (won 86% of 29)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.