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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
50-Pencejoseph00677ndb1
Record (consensus markets)48% (118–128, n=246)53% (10–9, n=19)65% (862–456, n=1318)
Consensus PnL$135K$5.6M$4.1M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #612PM monthly #2PM monthly #69
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)no open consensus position68% (48 of 71 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +20 pts n=13, ROI +25%
  • Soccer +7 pts n=40, ROI +12%
  • Economy +4 pts n=20, ROI −3%
Weakest topicElections −6 pts, n=62—NFL −10 pts, n=132
Settled positions, side won44% of 241 at avg 44¢, ROI +1%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%64% of 1258 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢46% (won 8% of 110)12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 16% of 160)
Entries 30–50¢11% (won 31% of 26)6% (won 0% of 1)20% (won 39% of 252)
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 63% of 27)65% (won 73% of 11)24% (won 57% of 306)
Entries 70¢ and up32% (won 94% of 78)18% (won 67% of 3)43% (won 93% of 540)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market50-Pencejoseph00677ndb1
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1.7K—No $83K