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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 50-Pence | joseph00677 | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 48% (118–128, n=246) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 66% (875–457, n=1332) | 47% (14178–15785, n=29963) |
| Consensus PnL | $141K | $5.6M | $4.1M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #612 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #22 | PM monthly #18 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 91% (29 of 32 open) | no open consensus position | 72% (92 of 128 open) | 53% (18 of 34 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Elections −6 pts, n=62 | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 44% of 241 at avg 44¢, ROI +1% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1258 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 46% (won 8% of 110) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 11% (won 31% of 26) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 20% (won 39% of 252) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 11% (won 63% of 27) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 24% (won 57% of 306) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 32% (won 94% of 78) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 43% (won 93% of 540) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 50-Pence | joseph00677 | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $1.8K | — | No $83K | — |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $20 | — | No $54K | — |