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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Bilberryjoseph006770xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816
Record (consensus markets)52% (2649–2412, n=5061)50% (10–10, n=20)61% (495–320, n=815)
Consensus PnL$50K$5.3M$4.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #925PM monthly #2was PM monthly #51
Sides with the consensus59% (36 of 61 open)no open consensus position64% (7 of 11 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic——Soccer ±0 pts, n=115
Settled positions, side won43% of 3501 at avg 40¢, ROI +3%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5%
Entries under 30¢44% (won 18% of 1527)12% (won 0% of 2)15% (won 29% of 125)
Entries 30–50¢20% (won 43% of 707)6% (won 0% of 1)34% (won 58% of 283)
Entries 50–70¢18% (won 62% of 629)65% (won 73% of 11)43% (won 69% of 354)
Entries 70¢ and up18% (won 85% of 638)18% (won 67% of 3)7% (won 80% of 60)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.