Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankfantasy7788robustmstSportsTrading123
Record (consensus markets)53% (23–20, n=43)56% (5–4, n=9)42% (13–18, n=31)71% (5–2, n=7)
Consensus PnL$543K$421K$208K$15K
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #42PM monthly #28was PM monthly #942
Sides with the consensus70% (7 of 10 open)0% (0 of 2 open)no open consensus position0% (0 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +51 pts n=14, ROI +48%
none with 10+ settlednot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 23 at avg 50¢, ROI +47%100% of 5 at avg 50¢, ROI +54%100% of 13 at avg 45¢, ROI +50%—
Entries under 30¢0%20% (won 100% of 1)0%—
Entries 30–50¢57% (won 100% of 13)20% (won 100% of 1)85% (won 100% of 11)—
Entries 50–70¢39% (won 100% of 9)60% (won 100% of 3)15% (won 100% of 2)—
Entries 70¢ and up4% (won 100% of 1)0%0%—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankfantasy7788robustmstSportsTrading123
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner
same side · consensus Vitality
—FURIA $304—FURIA $1.3K