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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankjoseph00677ndb1OhWhenTheReds
Record (consensus markets)45% (576–717, n=1293)45% (10–12, n=22)63% (993–578, n=1571)47% (62–71, n=133)
Consensus PnL$7.3M$5.3M$4.8M-$38K
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #2PM monthly #97was PM monthly #713
Sides with the consensus88% (22 of 25 open)no open consensus position73% (53 of 73 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic——NFL −9 pts, n=144—
Settled positions, side won97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%100% of 62 at avg 51¢, ROI +49%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 15% of 186)3% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 204)6% (won 0% of 1)19% (won 39% of 267)48% (won 100% of 30)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 202)65% (won 73% of 11)23% (won 58% of 326)45% (won 100% of 28)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)18% (won 67% of 3)44% (won 94% of 619)3% (won 100% of 2)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankjoseph00677ndb1OhWhenTheReds
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $409K—No $337K—