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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Bunnycat0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188joseph00677ndb1
Record (consensus markets)81% (93–22, n=115)46% (131–154, n=285)53% (10–9, n=19)65% (862–456, n=1318)
Consensus PnL$13K-$6.6M$5.6M$4.1M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #764was PM monthly #715PM monthly #2PM monthly #69
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus positionno open consensus position68% (48 of 71 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +4 pts n=196, ROI +5%
Weakest topic—College Basketball −12 pts, n=174—NFL −10 pts, n=132
Settled positions, side won95% of 101 at avg 69¢, ROI +26%49% of 1341 at avg 50¢, ROI −2%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%64% of 1258 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 33% of 3)0% (won 17% of 6)12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 16% of 160)
Entries 30–50¢9% (won 67% of 9)42% (won 46% of 565)6% (won 0% of 1)20% (won 39% of 252)
Entries 50–70¢33% (won 100% of 33)57% (won 51% of 766)65% (won 73% of 11)24% (won 57% of 306)
Entries 70¢ and up55% (won 100% of 56)0% (won 100% of 4)18% (won 67% of 3)43% (won 93% of 540)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.