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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Eulhunterbeachboy4surfandturfjoseph00677
Record (consensus markets)54% (699–597, n=1296)68% (43–20, n=63)52% (273–252, n=525)50% (10–10, n=20)
Consensus PnL$271K$5.8M$4.1M$5.3M
Tracked asPM monthly #340was PM monthly #24was PM monthly #326PM monthly #2
Sides with the consensus71% (5 of 7 open)100% (2 of 2 open)50% (1 of 2 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
  • MMA +4 pts n=148, ROI +10%
  • NBA +4 pts n=76, ROI +12%
Weakest topic—NBA −6 pts, n=93NFL −11 pts, n=58—
Settled positions, side won61% of 754 at avg 59¢, ROI +6%57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%53% of 536 at avg 53¢, ROI 0%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢27% (won 4% of 204)3% (won 17% of 6)20% (won 12% of 109)12% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢11% (won 23% of 83)30% (won 57% of 63)21% (won 46% of 114)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢12% (won 66% of 94)54% (won 51% of 115)33% (won 60% of 176)65% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up49% (won 99% of 373)14% (won 86% of 29)26% (won 82% of 137)18% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.