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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Favorite-Cave-Muscatbeachboy400gringo000x53757615de1c42b83f893b79d4241a009dc2aeea
Record (consensus markets)77% (209–63, n=272)68% (43–20, n=63)75% (6–2, n=8)41% (1101–1609, n=2710)
Consensus PnL$59K$5.8M$3.5M$2.9M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #998was PM monthly #24was PM monthly #19PM monthly #410
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position33% (1 of 3 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
none with 10+ settlednot computed yet
Weakest topicNHL −2 pts, n=20NBA −6 pts, n=92——
Settled positions, side won80% of 189 at avg 71¢, ROI +4%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%—
Entries under 30¢10% (won 11% of 18)3% (won 17% of 6)0%—
Entries 30–50¢14% (won 58% of 26)29% (won 56% of 62)0%—
Entries 50–70¢13% (won 76% of 25)54% (won 51% of 115)100% (won 86% of 7)—
Entries 70¢ and up63% (won 96% of 120)14% (won 86% of 29)0%—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.