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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| FlamePyro | joseph00677 | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 62% (409–254, n=663) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 64% (1097–630, n=1727) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.8K | $5.3M | $4.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #756 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #92 |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (3 of 4 open) | no open consensus position | 72% (107 of 149 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | College Basketball −19 pts, n=20 | — | NFL −8 pts, n=147 |
| Settled positions, side won | 62% of 543 at avg 60¢, ROI +9% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 14% (won 20% of 74) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 14% of 187) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 19% (won 37% of 103) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 19% (won 39% of 269) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 27% (won 65% of 149) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 23% (won 57% of 328) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 40% (won 86% of 217) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 44% (won 94% of 622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.