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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpjoseph00677ndb1RadioCCOD
Record (consensus markets)52% (6618–6146, n=12764)45% (10–12, n=22)63% (993–576, n=1569)40% (124–189, n=313)
Consensus PnL$3.6M$5.3M$4.8M$30K
Tracked asPM monthly #10PM monthly #2PM monthly #94PM monthly #926
Sides with the consensus75% (106 of 141 open)no open consensus position69% (52 of 75 open)80% (165 of 206 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22—NFL −9 pts, n=139Soccer −1 pts, n=40
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%40% of 248 at avg 20¢, ROI +8%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 15% of 168)73% (won 23% of 182)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)6% (won 0% of 1)20% (won 39% of 256)10% (won 81% of 26)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)65% (won 73% of 11)24% (won 58% of 314)13% (won 94% of 31)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)18% (won 67% of 3)43% (won 93% of 550)4% (won 100% of 9)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpjoseph00677ndb1RadioCCOD
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 46 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $358Yes $1