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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
GOLDCRYPT120xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816ndb1
Record (consensus markets)49% (867–885, n=1752)61% (495–321, n=816)65% (862–456, n=1318)
Consensus PnL$12K-$352K$4.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #153was PM monthly #51PM monthly #69
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)72% (13 of 18 open)68% (48 of 71 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Soccer ±0 pts, n=115NFL −10 pts, n=132
Settled positions, side won46% of 883 at avg 44¢, ROI −1%60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5%64% of 1258 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢19% (won 26% of 169)15% (won 29% of 125)13% (won 16% of 160)
Entries 30–50¢45% (won 38% of 397)34% (won 58% of 283)20% (won 39% of 252)
Entries 50–70¢27% (won 62% of 240)43% (won 69% of 354)24% (won 57% of 306)
Entries 70¢ and up9% (won 79% of 77)7% (won 80% of 60)43% (won 93% of 540)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketGOLDCRYPT120xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816ndb1
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $7.4KNo $146