← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Gaditima | joseph00677 | ndb1 | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 47% (3818–4330, n=8148) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 66% (868–456, n=1324) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | -$384K | $5.6M | $4.1M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #498 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #69 | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 56% (57 of 101 open) | no open consensus position | 76% (16 of 21 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
|
|
|
| Weakest topic | Esports −2 pts, n=1379 | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 46% of 6888 at avg 46¢, ROI −1% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1258 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 34% (won 7% of 2340) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 17% (won 36% of 1190) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 20% (won 39% of 252) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 22% (won 62% of 1481) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 24% (won 57% of 306) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 27% (won 89% of 1877) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 43% (won 93% of 540) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Gaditima | joseph00677 | ndb1 | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? same side · consensus No | No $5.5K | — | No $7.0K | — |