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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Greedobeachboy4
Record (consensus markets)47% (197–223, n=420)68% (43–20, n=63)
Consensus PnL$32K$5.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #225was PM monthly #24
Sides with the consensus50% (1 of 2 open)100% (2 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +7 pts n=17, ROI −2%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topicCollege Football −9 pts, n=50NBA −6 pts, n=93
Settled positions, side won44% of 349 at avg 45¢, ROI −1%57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢16% (won 14% of 56)3% (won 17% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢37% (won 40% of 128)30% (won 57% of 63)
Entries 50–70¢45% (won 55% of 156)54% (won 51% of 115)
Entries 70¢ and up3% (won 78% of 9)14% (won 86% of 29)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.