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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
HoshinoAIndb1
Record (consensus markets)0% (0–3, n=3)64% (1101–632, n=1733)
Consensus PnL-$1.8K$4.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #379PM monthly #109
Sides with the consensus44% (47 of 107 open)73% (76 of 104 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—NFL −8 pts, n=147
Settled positions, side won—64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢—13% (won 14% of 187)
Entries 30–50¢—19% (won 39% of 269)
Entries 50–70¢—23% (won 57% of 328)
Entries 70¢ and up—44% (won 94% of 622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketHoshinoAIndb1
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2028 elections?
same side · consensus No
Yes $16Yes $50