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Consensus PnL -$1.8K · win rate 0% (0–3, n=3) · PM monthly #379 · holds 106 consensus positions
0x5bcd012d...cf07fa31Polymarket
⚖️Arb🔄Contrarian🎰Degen
Consensus PnL
$-1.8K
Record
0W / 3L
Win Rate
0.0%
of 3 settled
Batting Avg
47.3%
Status
Unprofitable
Win-rate rank
#1773
Source
PM monthly #379
Record (90 d)
0/0
Trades
375
Markets
135
Volume
$40.7K
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Top consensus positions
106 in listed consensus markets · 48 of 106 on the consensus side (45%)- Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No $6.0K · now 94¢ · in at 94¢with the consensus (18% of 35)
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No $2.9K · now 90¢ · in at 90¢against the consensus (Yes)
- Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?Yes $2.7K · now 67¢ · in at 2¢with the consensus (71% of 45)
- Iran leadership change by December 31?No $2.1K · now 92¢ · in at 93¢with the consensus (76% of 63)
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No $1.6K · now 92¢ · in at 92¢against the consensus (Yes)
- US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 30?No $795 · now 44¢ · in at 43¢against the consensus (Yes)
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes $780 · now 16¢ · in at 17¢with the consensus (82% of 57)
- Will the Republican Party win the AK-AL House seat?Yes $650 · now 91¢ · in at 92¢with the consensus (54% of 24)