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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
LesterDiamond0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816
Record (consensus markets)56% (3306–2624, n=5930)61% (495–320, n=815)
Consensus PnL$177K$4.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #713was PM monthly #51
Sides with the consensus80% (32 of 40 open)55% (6 of 11 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topicWeather −3 pts, n=392Soccer ±0 pts, n=115
Settled positions, side won65% of 3649 at avg 65¢, ROI +4%60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5%
Entries under 30¢26% (won 2% of 940)15% (won 29% of 125)
Entries 30–50¢7% (won 48% of 265)34% (won 58% of 283)
Entries 50–70¢10% (won 61% of 383)43% (won 69% of 354)
Entries 70¢ and up56% (won 97% of 2061)7% (won 80% of 60)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketLesterDiamond0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $121Yes $6.4K