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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Liquidifierjoseph00677ndb1sainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)47% (695–785, n=1480)53% (10–9, n=19)65% (862–456, n=1318)71% (10–4, n=14)
Consensus PnL$181K$5.6M$4.1M$4.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #917PM monthly #2PM monthly #69was PM monthly #11
Sides with the consensus69% (79 of 115 open)no open consensus position68% (48 of 71 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
Weakest topicElections −1 pts, n=214—NFL −10 pts, n=132—
Settled positions, side won39% of 1341 at avg 38¢, ROI −3%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%64% of 1258 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%
Entries under 30¢53% (won 7% of 713)12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 16% of 160)0%
Entries 30–50¢11% (won 45% of 153)6% (won 0% of 1)20% (won 39% of 252)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢9% (won 55% of 119)65% (won 73% of 11)24% (won 57% of 306)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up27% (won 94% of 356)18% (won 67% of 3)43% (won 93% of 540)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketLiquidifierjoseph00677ndb1sainttroplay
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $106—No $479K—