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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Oddstorm | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | 0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (5754–5977, n=11731) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 50% (10–10, n=20) | 61% (495–320, n=815) |
| Consensus PnL | $23K | $10.6M | $5.3M | $4.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #921 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #2 | was PM monthly #51 |
| Sides with the consensus | 56% (9 of 16 open) | 90% (147 of 164 open) | no open consensus position | 50% (5 of 10 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | MLB −3 pts, n=743 | — | — | Soccer ±0 pts, n=115 |
| Settled positions, side won | 49% of 7560 at avg 49¢, ROI +1% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 18% (won 19% of 1334) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 15% (won 29% of 125) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 43% of 2720) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 34% (won 58% of 283) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 31% (won 57% of 2376) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 43% (won 69% of 354) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 15% (won 81% of 1130) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 7% (won 80% of 60) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Oddstorm | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | 0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wizards vs. Magic opposite sides · consensus Magic | Wizards $482 | — | — | Magic $15K |