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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Oddstorm | surfandturf | 0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816 | joseph00677 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (5754–5977, n=11731) | 52% (273–252, n=525) | 61% (495–321, n=816) | 53% (10–9, n=19) |
| Consensus PnL | $18K | -$77K | -$352K | $5.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #921 | was PM monthly #326 | was PM monthly #51 | PM monthly #2 |
| Sides with the consensus | 53% (8 of 15 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 72% (13 of 18 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | MLB −3 pts, n=743 | NFL −11 pts, n=58 | Soccer ±0 pts, n=115 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 49% of 7560 at avg 49¢, ROI +1% | 53% of 536 at avg 53¢, ROI 0% | 60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 18% (won 19% of 1334) | 20% (won 12% of 109) | 15% (won 29% of 125) | 12% (won 0% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 43% of 2720) | 21% (won 46% of 114) | 34% (won 58% of 283) | 6% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 31% (won 57% of 2376) | 33% (won 60% of 176) | 43% (won 69% of 354) | 65% (won 73% of 11) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 15% (won 81% of 1130) | 26% (won 82% of 137) | 7% (won 80% of 60) | 18% (won 67% of 3) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Oddstorm | surfandturf | 0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816 | joseph00677 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wizards vs. Magic opposite sides · consensus Magic | Wizards $450 | — | Magic $19K | — |