Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
SineNooneEI00gringo000xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816joseph00677
Record (consensus markets)57% (832–616, n=1448)75% (6–2, n=8)61% (495–320, n=815)50% (10–10, n=20)
Consensus PnL$611K$3.5M$4.8M$5.3M
Tracked asPM monthly #546was PM monthly #19was PM monthly #51PM monthly #2
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position50% (5 of 10 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic——Soccer ±0 pts, n=115—
Settled positions, side won84% of 1112 at avg 54¢, ROI +19%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 63% of 60)0%15% (won 29% of 125)12% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 76% of 388)0%34% (won 58% of 283)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢43% (won 88% of 480)100% (won 86% of 7)43% (won 69% of 354)65% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up17% (won 95% of 184)0%7% (won 80% of 60)18% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.