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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
WarriorHjoseph00677surfandturf0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816
Record (consensus markets)11% (432–3410, n=3842)50% (10–10, n=20)52% (273–252, n=525)61% (495–320, n=815)
Consensus PnL$174K$5.3M$4.1M$4.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #71PM monthly #2was PM monthly #326was PM monthly #51
Sides with the consensus85% (138 of 163 open)no open consensus position50% (1 of 2 open)43% (3 of 7 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +3 pts n=10, ROI −2%
  • MMA +4 pts n=148, ROI +10%
  • NBA +4 pts n=76, ROI +12%
Weakest topicEntertainment −13 pts, n=147—NFL −11 pts, n=58Soccer ±0 pts, n=115
Settled positions, side won11% of 2095 at avg 17¢, ROI −4%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%53% of 536 at avg 53¢, ROI 0%60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5%
Entries under 30¢83% (won 1% of 1737)12% (won 0% of 2)20% (won 12% of 109)15% (won 29% of 125)
Entries 30–50¢4% (won 36% of 87)6% (won 0% of 1)21% (won 46% of 114)34% (won 58% of 283)
Entries 50–70¢4% (won 51% of 87)65% (won 73% of 11)33% (won 60% of 176)43% (won 69% of 354)
Entries 70¢ and up9% (won 83% of 184)18% (won 67% of 3)26% (won 82% of 137)7% (won 80% of 60)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketWarriorHjoseph00677surfandturf0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $2.7KYes $6.4K