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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| WarriorH | surfandturf | pleaseplease123 | joseph00677 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 11% (427–3397, n=3824) | 52% (273–252, n=525) | 49% (345–353, n=698) | 50% (10–10, n=20) |
| Consensus PnL | $174K | $4.1M | $3.2M | $5.3M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #71 | was PM monthly #326 | was PM monthly #92 | PM monthly #2 |
| Sides with the consensus | 81% (168 of 207 open) | 0% (0 of 2 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | Entertainment −13 pts, n=147 | NFL −11 pts, n=58 | MLB −1 pts, n=694 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 11% of 2095 at avg 17¢, ROI −4% | 53% of 536 at avg 53¢, ROI 0% | 49% of 694 at avg 51¢, ROI −1% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 83% (won 1% of 1737) | 20% (won 12% of 109) | 0% (won 0% of 2) | 12% (won 0% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 4% (won 36% of 87) | 21% (won 46% of 114) | 38% (won 43% of 266) | 6% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 4% (won 51% of 87) | 33% (won 60% of 176) | 61% (won 54% of 426) | 65% (won 73% of 11) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 9% (won 83% of 184) | 26% (won 82% of 137) | 0% | 18% (won 67% of 3) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | WarriorH | surfandturf | pleaseplease123 | joseph00677 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will T1 win Worlds 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.4K | Yes $2.3K | — | — |
| Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $1.2K | No $2.7K | — | — |