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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Xyp9xFanjoseph006770x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188CORGII
Record (consensus markets)54% (451–384, n=835)50% (10–10, n=20)46% (131–154, n=285)61% (395–248, n=643)
Consensus PnL-$117K$5.3M$19.1M$4.5M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #617PM monthly #2was PM monthly #715PM monthly #68
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • MLB +12 pts n=19, ROI −8%
  • NHL +4 pts n=196, ROI +5%
Weakest topicMMA −7 pts, n=24—College Basketball −12 pts, n=174—
Settled positions, side won54% of 812 at avg 52¢, ROI −3%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%49% of 1341 at avg 50¢, ROI −2%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢12% (won 27% of 95)12% (won 0% of 2)0% (won 17% of 6)9% (won 92% of 36)
Entries 30–50¢30% (won 49% of 242)6% (won 0% of 1)42% (won 46% of 565)56% (won 99% of 223)
Entries 50–70¢44% (won 55% of 359)65% (won 73% of 11)57% (won 51% of 766)33% (won 100% of 133)
Entries 70¢ and up14% (won 82% of 116)18% (won 67% of 3)0% (won 100% of 4)2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.