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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Zzzz870x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188BreakTheBank00gringo00
Record (consensus markets)49% (2790–2855, n=5645)46% (131–154, n=285)45% (542–652, n=1194)75% (6–2, n=8)
Consensus PnL-$1.7M-$6.6M$11.0M$3.5M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #159was PM monthly #715PM monthly #1was PM monthly #19
Sides with the consensus67% (2 of 3 open)no open consensus position91% (150 of 165 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NHL +4 pts n=196, ROI +5%
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicMLB ±0 pts, n=438College Basketball −12 pts, n=174——
Settled positions, side won50% of 5302 at avg 49¢, ROI +3%49% of 1341 at avg 50¢, ROI −2%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%
Entries under 30¢27% (won 12% of 1416)0% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 82% of 56)0%
Entries 30–50¢21% (won 45% of 1100)42% (won 46% of 565)36% (won 98% of 198)0%
Entries 50–70¢31% (won 63% of 1633)57% (won 51% of 766)35% (won 99% of 191)100% (won 86% of 7)
Entries 70¢ and up22% (won 84% of 1153)0% (won 100% of 4)19% (won 100% of 107)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.