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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| akroll | beachboy4 | joseph00677 | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 40% (373–556, n=929) | no settled market | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 65% (889–469, n=1358) |
| Consensus PnL | $38K | — | $5.6M | $4.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #110 | — | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #96 |
| Sides with the consensus | 77% (321 of 419 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | 74% (34 of 46 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | Elections −3 pts, n=72 | — | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 |
| Settled positions, side won | 44% of 394 at avg 46¢, ROI +7% | — | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 52% (won 1% of 205) | — | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 15% of 168) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 2% (won 43% of 7) | — | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 20% (won 39% of 256) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 4% (won 53% of 15) | — | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 24% (won 58% of 314) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 42% (won 96% of 167) | — | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 43% (won 93% of 550) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | akroll | beachboy4 | joseph00677 | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kansas City Chiefs win the 2026 AFC West? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $14 | — | — | Yes $258 |