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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
astapzipposainttroplayCORGII00gringo00
Record (consensus markets)59% (1657–1171, n=2828)71% (10–4, n=14)62% (393–245, n=638)75% (6–2, n=8)
Consensus PnL$93K$4.4M$4.5M$3.5M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #991was PM monthly #11PM monthly #68was PM monthly #19
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 2 open)no open consensus position25% (1 of 4 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Esports +34 pts n=870, ROI +30%
  • NBA +37 pts n=160, ROI +23%
  • Tennis +32 pts n=763, ROI +23%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicGeopolitics −7 pts, n=28———
Settled positions, side won91% of 1999 at avg 58¢, ROI +25%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%
Entries under 30¢7% (won 62% of 146)0%9% (won 92% of 36)0%
Entries 30–50¢29% (won 87% of 587)50% (won 100% of 5)56% (won 99% of 223)0%
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 94% of 706)50% (won 100% of 5)33% (won 100% of 133)100% (won 86% of 7)
Entries 70¢ and up28% (won 98% of 560)0%2% (won 100% of 7)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketastapzipposainttroplayCORGII00gringo00
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A
same side · consensus Heroic
B8 $475—B8 $22K—