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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4god83743894ndb1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market30% (3208–7612, n=10820)66% (901–474, n=1375)
Consensus PnL—-$128K$4.5M
Tracked as—PM monthly #239PM monthly #100
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position73% (271 of 370 open)72% (109 of 151 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • MLB +2 pts n=42, ROI +2%
Weakest topic—Weather −7 pts, n=5548NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won—28% of 8247 at avg 33¢, ROI −5%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢—69% (won 1% of 5687)13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢—2% (won 40% of 158)20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢—3% (won 54% of 213)24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up—27% (won 96% of 2189)43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4god83743894ndb1
Will Paris Saint-Germain finish first in UCL league phase?
same side · consensus No
—No $32No $24