Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

sainttroplay: no tracked trader by that name or wallet.

Traders side by side
beachboy4god83743894ndb1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market30% (3215–7616, n=10831)65% (901–484, n=1385)
Consensus PnL—-$128K$4.4M
Tracked as—PM monthly #238PM monthly #101
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position74% (285 of 383 open)70% (106 of 151 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • MLB +2 pts n=42, ROI +2%
Weakest topic—Weather −7 pts, n=5548NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won—28% of 8247 at avg 33¢, ROI −5%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢—69% (won 1% of 5687)13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢—2% (won 40% of 158)20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢—3% (won 54% of 213)24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up—27% (won 96% of 2189)43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4god83743894ndb1
Will Paris Saint-Germain finish first in UCL league phase?
same side · consensus No
—No $46No $33