Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4klli27ndb1sainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)no settled market39% (362–558, n=920)65% (882–468, n=1350)no settled market
Consensus PnL—$103K$4.2M—
Tracked as—PM monthly #122PM monthly #143—
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position17% (2 of 12 open)78% (25 of 32 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settlednot computed yet
Weakest topic—Economy −8 pts, n=24NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won—38% of 344 at avg 39¢, ROI +1%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%—
Entries under 30¢—58% (won 1% of 199)13% (won 15% of 168)—
Entries 30–50¢—3% (won 40% of 10)20% (won 39% of 256)—
Entries 50–70¢—3% (won 58% of 12)24% (won 58% of 314)—
Entries 70¢ and up—36% (won 97% of 123)43% (won 93% of 550)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.