Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
betdgeFlaznorp
Record (consensus markets)50% (1155–1174, n=2329)52% (6551–6119, n=12670)
Consensus PnL$108K$3.7M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #874PM monthly #13
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position68% (267 of 391 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNFL −4 pts, n=565Other Sports −13 pts, n=22
Settled positions, side won49% of 2386 at avg 48¢, ROI −1%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%
Entries under 30¢16% (won 19% of 388)29% (won 11% of 465)
Entries 30–50¢37% (won 40% of 874)16% (won 40% of 255)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 61% of 834)16% (won 62% of 260)
Entries 70¢ and up12% (won 84% of 290)39% (won 94% of 637)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.