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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
big8betzjoseph00677ndb1
Record (consensus markets)49% (50–52, n=102)45% (10–12, n=22)64% (1097–630, n=1727)
Consensus PnL$71K$5.3M$4.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #234PM monthly #3PM monthly #98
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position74% (112 of 152 open)
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +17 pts n=28, ROI +13%
  • NBA +7 pts n=30, ROI +12%
Weakest topicNFL −2 pts, n=11—NFL −8 pts, n=147
Settled positions, side won57% of 76 at avg 48¢, ROI +11%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢14% (won 27% of 11)12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 14% of 187)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 44% of 27)6% (won 0% of 1)19% (won 39% of 269)
Entries 50–70¢46% (won 77% of 35)65% (won 73% of 11)23% (won 57% of 328)
Entries 70¢ and up4% (won 33% of 3)18% (won 67% of 3)44% (won 94% of 622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.