Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
big8betzjoseph00677ndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)57% (39–30, n=69)no settled market52% (102–94, n=196)50% (65–65, n=130)
Consensus PnL$127K—$2.7M-$22K
Tracked asPM monthly #210PM monthly #7PM monthly #111PM monthly #34 + pinned
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)no open consensus position74% (66 of 89 open)45% (40 of 88 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settlednot computed yetnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—62% of 13 at avg 59¢, ROI +33%——
Entries under 30¢—8% (won 0% of 1)——
Entries 30–50¢—8% (won 0% of 1)——
Entries 50–70¢—69% (won 67% of 9)——
Entries 70¢ and up—15% (won 100% of 2)——

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbig8betzjoseph00677ndb1RN1
WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova
opposite sides · consensus Aryna Sabalenka
Karolina Muchova $2——Aryna Sabalenka $84K