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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| binkybarnes55 | surfandturf | 0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (579–524, n=1103) | 52% (273–252, n=525) | 61% (495–320, n=815) |
| Consensus PnL | -$67K | $4.1M | $4.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #637 | was PM monthly #326 | was PM monthly #51 |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (3 of 4 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) | 50% (5 of 10 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| |
| Weakest topic | Esports −5 pts, n=423 | NFL −11 pts, n=58 | Soccer ±0 pts, n=115 |
| Settled positions, side won | 53% of 1168 at avg 55¢, ROI −3% | 53% of 536 at avg 53¢, ROI 0% | 60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 19% of 84) | 20% (won 12% of 109) | 15% (won 29% of 125) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 41% of 301) | 21% (won 46% of 114) | 34% (won 58% of 283) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 51% (won 55% of 591) | 33% (won 60% of 176) | 43% (won 69% of 354) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 16% (won 78% of 192) | 26% (won 82% of 137) | 7% (won 80% of 60) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | binkybarnes55 | surfandturf | 0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $2.7K | Yes $6.4K |
| Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $3.7K | — | Yes $7.4K |