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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| forgotmydinner | joseph00677 | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 29% (62–154, n=216) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 66% (876–457, n=1333) |
| Consensus PnL | $102K | $5.6M | $4.1M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #62 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #23 |
| Sides with the consensus | 71% (84 of 119 open) | no open consensus position | 72% (91 of 127 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| |
| Weakest topic | NBA ±0 pts, n=10 | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 |
| Settled positions, side won | 20% of 173 at avg 14¢, ROI +19% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1258 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 85% (won 7% of 147) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 16% of 160) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 4% (won 71% of 7) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 20% (won 39% of 252) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 2% (won 100% of 4) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 24% (won 57% of 306) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 9% (won 100% of 15) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 43% (won 93% of 540) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | forgotmydinner | joseph00677 | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $27 | — | No $335K |