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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
jole2400gringo00RN1surfandturf
Record (consensus markets)44% (1040–1301, n=2341)75% (6–2, n=8)47% (13855–15340, n=29195)54% (225–189, n=414)
Consensus PnL$44K$3.5M$13.4M$9.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #906was PM monthly #19PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #326
Sides with the consensus75% (3 of 4 open)no open consensus position100% (4 of 4 open)50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednot computed yet
Weakest topicEntertainment −5 pts, n=23———
Settled positions, side won52% of 1908 at avg 44¢, ROI +8%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%—
Entries under 30¢19% (won 19% of 353)0%10% (won 57% of 2537)—
Entries 30–50¢41% (won 53% of 785)0%22% (won 94% of 5518)—
Entries 50–70¢37% (won 64% of 700)100% (won 86% of 7)36% (won 99% of 8928)—
Entries 70¢ and up4% (won 87% of 70)0%32% (won 100% of 7821)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.