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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
joseph00677ndb1Venusian
Record (consensus markets)53% (10–9, n=19)66% (876–458, n=1334)54% (695–581, n=1276)
Consensus PnL$5.6M$4.1M$22K
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #26PM monthly #358
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position74% (28 of 38 open)58% (118 of 202 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +46 pts n=76, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +23 pts n=287, ROI +26%
  • Tennis +28 pts n=21, ROI +33%
Weakest topic—NFL −10 pts, n=132—
Settled positions, side won59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%100% of 417 at avg 71¢, ROI +34%
Entries under 30¢12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 16% of 160)6% (won 100% of 26)
Entries 30–50¢6% (won 0% of 1)20% (won 40% of 253)16% (won 100% of 65)
Entries 50–70¢65% (won 73% of 11)24% (won 57% of 310)23% (won 100% of 96)
Entries 70¢ and up18% (won 67% of 3)43% (won 93% of 544)55% (won 100% of 230)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.