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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
joseph00677ndb1RN1Venusian
Record (consensus markets)53% (10–9, n=19)66% (876–458, n=1334)47% (14348–15981, n=30329)54% (695–581, n=1276)
Consensus PnL$5.6M$4.1M$14.8M$22K
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #26PM monthly #18 + pinnedPM monthly #358
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position72% (28 of 39 open)64% (37 of 58 open)66% (35 of 53 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +46 pts n=76, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +23 pts n=287, ROI +26%
  • Tennis +28 pts n=21, ROI +33%
Weakest topic—NFL −10 pts, n=132——
Settled positions, side won59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 417 at avg 71¢, ROI +34%
Entries under 30¢12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 16% of 160)10% (won 57% of 2606)6% (won 100% of 26)
Entries 30–50¢6% (won 0% of 1)20% (won 40% of 253)22% (won 94% of 5665)16% (won 100% of 65)
Entries 50–70¢65% (won 73% of 11)24% (won 57% of 310)36% (won 99% of 9185)23% (won 100% of 96)
Entries 70¢ and up18% (won 67% of 3)43% (won 93% of 544)32% (won 100% of 8345)55% (won 100% of 230)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

15 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketjoseph00677ndb1RN1Venusian
Rolex Paris Masters: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Arthur Gea
opposite sides · consensus Jan-Lennard Struff
——Arthur Gea $13KJan-Lennard Struff $15K
Costa do Sauipe: Filip Misolic vs Juan Pablo Varillas
opposite sides · consensus Filip Misolic
——Filip Misolic $9.6KJuan Pablo Varillas $349
Deportivo Pereira vs. CD Tolima: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $1.1KUnder $9
Bratislava 2: Dalibor Svrcina vs Norbert Gombos
opposite sides · consensus Dalibor Svrcina
——Norbert Gombos $24Dalibor Svrcina $765
Cali: Rebeka Masarova vs Alice Tubello
opposite sides · consensus Alice Tubello
——Rebeka Masarova $15Alice Tubello $340
M25 Guadalajara: Ian Lucca Cervantes Tomas vs Maxwell McKennon
opposite sides · consensus Maxwell McKennon
——Maxwell McKennon $337Ian Lucca Cervantes Tomas $2
Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Rafael Jodar
same side · consensus Casper Ruud
——Casper Ruud $39KCasper Ruud $11K
Costa do Sauipe: Rafael Tosetto vs Franco Roncadelli
same side · consensus Franco Roncadelli
——Franco Roncadelli $10KFranco Roncadelli $7.1K
Chennai Open: Sahaja Yamalapalli vs Simona Waltert
same side · consensus Simona Waltert
——Simona Waltert $9.0KSimona Waltert $7.4K
Costa do Sauipe: Daniel Galan vs Gonzalo Bueno
same side · consensus Daniel Galan
——Daniel Galan $12KDaniel Galan $3.8K
Villa Maria: Alan Magadan vs Valerio Aboian
same side · consensus Valerio Aboian
——Valerio Aboian $8.0KValerio Aboian $7.3K
Cali: Valentina Mediorreal vs Julia Riera
same side · consensus Julia Riera
——Julia Riera $5.0KJulia Riera $1.1K
Charlottesville: Max Hans Rehberg vs Trevor Svajda
same side · consensus Max Hans Rehberg
——Max Hans Rehberg $4.3KMax Hans Rehberg $525
Costa do Sauipe: Lucas Da Silva vs Lautaro Midon
same side · consensus Lautaro Midon
——Lautaro Midon $4.2KLautaro Midon $410
Bratislava 2: Kimmer Coppejans vs Jonas Forejtek
same side · consensus Kimmer Coppejans
——Kimmer Coppejans $3.1KKimmer Coppejans $609
Cali: Tamara Zidansek vs Bianca Andreescu
same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu
——Bianca Andreescu $837Bianca Andreescu $1.9K
Charlottesville: Marcos Giron vs Dylan Dietrich
same side · consensus Marcos Giron
——Marcos Giron $1.9KMarcos Giron $617
Costa do Sauipe: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Santiago Rodriguez Taverna
same side · consensus Joao Lucas Da Silva
——Joao Lucas Da Silva $18Joao Lucas Da Silva $1.6K
Villa Maria: Valentino Grippo vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri
same side · consensus Genaro Alberto Olivieri
——Genaro Alberto Olivieri $710Genaro Alberto Olivieri $620
Will Deportivo Pereira win on 2026-11-03?
same side · consensus No
——No $422No $765
Cali: Sofia Costoulas vs Marina Bassols Ribera
same side · consensus Marina Bassols Ribera
——Sofia Costoulas $70Sofia Costoulas $1