← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| leflaive | surfandturf | 0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816 | joseph00677 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 43% (1230–1645, n=2875) | 52% (273–252, n=525) | 61% (495–321, n=816) | 53% (10–9, n=19) |
| Consensus PnL | -$15K | -$77K | -$352K | $5.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #1000 | was PM monthly #326 | was PM monthly #51 | PM monthly #2 |
| Sides with the consensus | 45% (5 of 11 open) | no open consensus position | 69% (9 of 13 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NBA −3 pts, n=618 | NFL −11 pts, n=58 | Soccer ±0 pts, n=115 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 42% of 2768 at avg 42¢, ROI 0% | 53% of 536 at avg 53¢, ROI 0% | 60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 28% (won 19% of 785) | 20% (won 12% of 109) | 15% (won 29% of 125) | 12% (won 0% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 38% of 1007) | 21% (won 46% of 114) | 34% (won 58% of 283) | 6% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 25% (won 58% of 702) | 33% (won 60% of 176) | 43% (won 69% of 354) | 65% (won 73% of 11) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 10% (won 83% of 274) | 26% (won 82% of 137) | 7% (won 80% of 60) | 18% (won 67% of 3) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.