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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
minji0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188sainttroplayndb1
Record (consensus markets)54% (492–425, n=917)46% (131–154, n=285)71% (10–4, n=14)65% (862–456, n=1318)
Consensus PnL$247K-$6.6M$4.4M$4.1M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #897was PM monthly #715was PM monthly #11PM monthly #69
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus positionno open consensus position68% (49 of 72 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +4 pts n=196, ROI +5%
Weakest topic—College Basketball −12 pts, n=174—NFL −10 pts, n=132
Settled positions, side won54% of 893 at avg 50¢, ROI +4%49% of 1341 at avg 50¢, ROI −2%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%64% of 1258 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢30% (won 3% of 267)0% (won 17% of 6)0%13% (won 16% of 160)
Entries 30–50¢18% (won 31% of 158)42% (won 46% of 565)50% (won 100% of 5)20% (won 39% of 252)
Entries 50–70¢23% (won 82% of 205)57% (won 51% of 766)50% (won 100% of 5)24% (won 57% of 306)
Entries 70¢ and up29% (won 95% of 263)0% (won 100% of 4)0%43% (won 93% of 540)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.