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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ndb1SineNooneEIuprightuserWiretransferxyz
Record (consensus markets)58% (419–300, n=719)88% (584–76, n=660)no settled market59% (363–253, n=616)
Consensus PnL$4.7M$1.0M—$883K
Tracked asPM monthly #157PM monthly #110was PM monthly #529PM monthly #227
Sides with the consensus70% (57 of 81 open)100% (1 of 1 open)100% (46 of 46 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +5 pts n=17, ROI +44%
not computed yet
Weakest topicNFL −8 pts, n=71———
Settled positions, side won54% of 496 at avg 57¢, ROI +1%92% of 511 at avg 55¢, ROI +33%—59% of 495 at avg 53¢, ROI +8%
Entries under 30¢19% (won 10% of 96)5% (won 83% of 23)—6% (won 17% of 29)
Entries 30–50¢21% (won 35% of 105)36% (won 88% of 182)—35% (won 46% of 171)
Entries 50–70¢27% (won 54% of 132)44% (won 93% of 224)—47% (won 66% of 233)
Entries 70¢ and up33% (won 91% of 163)16% (won 99% of 82)—13% (won 89% of 62)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.