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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ndb1sainttroplayVale54holi
Record (consensus markets)65% (870–459, n=1329)no settled market38% (187–304, n=491)
Consensus PnL$4.2M—$113K
Tracked asPM monthly #11—PM monthly #119
Sides with the consensus75% (24 of 32 open)no open consensus position64% (14 of 22 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topicNFL −10 pts, n=132—Mentions −1 pts, n=40
Settled positions, side won64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%—35% of 264 at avg 36¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢13% (won 16% of 160)—61% (won 1% of 161)
Entries 30–50¢20% (won 40% of 253)—3% (won 14% of 7)
Entries 50–70¢24% (won 57% of 310)—4% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up43% (won 93% of 544)—32% (won 96% of 85)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketndb1sainttroplayVale54holi
2026 Balance of Power: Other
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.1K—Yes $1