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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
niceqqqqq300gringo00BreakTheBankpleaseplease123
Record (consensus markets)61% (43–28, n=71)75% (6–2, n=8)45% (542–652, n=1194)51% (196–192, n=388)
Consensus PnL$13K$3.5M$10.6M$5.0M
Tracked asPM monthly #660was PM monthly #19PM monthly #1was PM monthly #92
Sides with the consensus50% (1 of 2 open)no open consensus position88% (130 of 148 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
not computed yet
Weakest topicTennis −12 pts, n=10———
Settled positions, side won78% of 55 at avg 71¢, ROI +6%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%—
Entries under 30¢9% (won 20% of 5)0%10% (won 82% of 56)—
Entries 30–50¢4% (won 100% of 2)0%36% (won 98% of 198)—
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 63% of 16)100% (won 86% of 7)35% (won 99% of 191)—
Entries 70¢ and up58% (won 94% of 32)0%19% (won 100% of 107)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.