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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| plainfolder | joseph00677 | CORGII | 0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 19% (1449–6349, n=7798) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 61% (395–248, n=643) | 61% (495–321, n=816) |
| Consensus PnL | -$66K | $5.6M | $194K | -$352K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #634 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #68 | was PM monthly #51 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (3 of 3 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | 69% (9 of 13 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| |
| Weakest topic | Elections −4 pts, n=799 | — | — | Soccer ±0 pts, n=115 |
| Settled positions, side won | 14% of 3144 at avg 18¢, ROI −4% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 85% (won 0% of 2677) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 15% (won 29% of 125) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 1% (won 33% of 21) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 34% (won 58% of 283) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 1% (won 61% of 28) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 43% (won 69% of 354) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 13% (won 97% of 418) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 7% (won 80% of 60) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.