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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)49% (345–353, n=698)68% (43–20, n=63)61% (495–320, n=815)71% (10–4, n=14)
Consensus PnL$3.2M$5.8M$4.8M$4.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #92was PM monthly #24was PM monthly #51was PM monthly #11
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position100% (2 of 2 open)57% (4 of 7 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topicMLB −1 pts, n=694NBA −6 pts, n=93Soccer ±0 pts, n=115—
Settled positions, side won49% of 694 at avg 51¢, ROI −1%57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%
Entries under 30¢0% (won 0% of 2)3% (won 17% of 6)15% (won 29% of 125)0%
Entries 30–50¢38% (won 43% of 266)30% (won 57% of 63)34% (won 58% of 283)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢61% (won 54% of 426)54% (won 51% of 115)43% (won 69% of 354)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up0%14% (won 86% of 29)7% (won 80% of 60)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.