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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
weeeskiesjoseph00677RN10xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816
Record (consensus markets)52% (736–666, n=1402)50% (10–10, n=20)47% (13868–15346, n=29214)61% (495–320, n=815)
Consensus PnL$20K$5.3M$13.4M$4.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #871PM monthly #2PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #51
Sides with the consensus71% (5 of 7 open)no open consensus position94% (15 of 16 open)64% (7 of 11 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +4 pts n=66, ROI +3%
Weakest topicTennis −4 pts, n=64——Soccer ±0 pts, n=115
Settled positions, side won56% of 1252 at avg 54¢, ROI +2%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5%
Entries under 30¢14% (won 21% of 170)12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2537)15% (won 29% of 125)
Entries 30–50¢32% (won 41% of 400)6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5518)34% (won 58% of 283)
Entries 50–70¢25% (won 61% of 312)65% (won 73% of 11)36% (won 99% of 8928)43% (won 69% of 354)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 84% of 370)18% (won 67% of 3)32% (won 100% of 7821)7% (won 80% of 60)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.